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- Info
Using GIS suitability analysis to identify potential future land use conflicts in North Central Florida
| Author: |
Carr, M.H.; Zwick, P. |
| Date: |
2005 |
| Periodical: |
Journal of Conservation Planning |
| Link: |
http://www.journalconsplanning.org/2005/volume1/issue1/carr/manuscript.html
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| Abstract: |
This article presents the Land Use Conflict Identification Strategy (LUCIS) that employs role playing and suitability modeling to predict areas where future land use conflict is likely to occur. A simple land use classification system of conservation, urban and agricultural land was derived from E. Odum�s Compartment Model to organize land use suitabilities and compare land use preferences (Odum 1969). The strategy�s six step process includes 1) developing a hierarchical set of goals and objectives that become suitability criteria, 2) inventory of available data, 3) determining suitabilities, 4) combining suitabilities to represent preference, 5) reclassifying preference into three categories of high, medium and low, and 6) comparing areas of preference to determine the quantity and spatial distribution of potential land use conflict.<br>A case study in north central Florida, USA, is used to demonstrate the strategy and to provide results for consideration and discussion. The study area occurs in a region with a trend of steady population increase that has resulted in conversion of lands with conservation and agricultural importance to urban use. Altogether the results suggest considerable conflict among the three basic land use classifications, but particularly between urban and agricultural land uses. LUCIS results have the potential to be used in at least three ways including decision support for local or regional planning activities, environmental regulation, or population modeling including representations of alternative futures (McHarg 1969, Lyle 1985, Steinitiz 1990, Steinitz et al 2003, Ahern 2001 and Hulse et al 2004). |
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