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- Info
Scenario planning for a fair growth agenda
| Author: |
Freeman, Lance |
| Date: |
2000 |
| Periodical: |
In: Fair Growth: Connecting Sprawl, Smart Growth, and Social Equity; 2000 November 1; Atlanta, GA. Washington, DC: Fannie Mae Foundation |
| Link: |
http://www.fanniemaefoundation.org/programs/papers.shtml
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| Abstract: |
This paper uses scenario planning to starkly illustrate the careful balance between choosing to grow smart and choosing to grow equitably. Scenario planning creates multiple scenarios that markedly diverge from one another so that the large-scale trends of the future are made visible. The objective is not to pinpoint the future or even describe it as it is likely to be. Rather, by exaggerating key aspects of the future in question, the scenario planning exercise makes apparent the nature of the trends that are driving the future. In this paper, scenario planning is used to depict the American metropolis in 2020 after one of four possible courses of action is followed: 1) Continuation of current practices and policies regarding both sprawl and social equity; 2) Adoption of smart growth initiatives to combat sprawl without, however, any consideration of the equity implications; 3) An equity-driven approach without any attempt to combat sprawl through smart growth, and; 4) Smart growth initiatives that are tempered by a concern for social equity. |
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